Friday, June 1, 2012

AA** against shortstack


$10.00 USD PL Omaha - Friday, June 01, 12:54:19 ET 2012
Table Deal PLO 18  10 Max (Real Money)
Seat 3 is the button
Seat 1: Doggies ( $10.15 USD )
Seat 2: gizmo003 ( $3.62 USD )
Seat 3: ReverseEST ( $6.47 USD )
Seat 5: Chiinaboy ( $21.33 USD )
Seat 6: robom ( $3.82 USD )
Chiinaboy posts small blind [$0.05 USD].
robom posts big blind [$0.10 USD].
Dealt to Doggies [  Tc Ah Ad 9c ]
Doggies raises [$0.35 USD]
gizmo003 folds
ReverseEST folds
Chiinaboy folds
robom calls [$0.25 USD]

Pre flop standard, villain is 66/0 after 6 hands, so likely bad. We can only eliminate really trashy hands from his range.
** Dealing Flop ** [ Kc, 4c, 7d ]
SPR = Slightly over 4.

Somewhat connected board, one we are definitely going to c-bet for value and protection with our overpair  + T - high FD + Backdoor straight draw.

Given the SPR I should have potted here, pretty much all the stacks go in on turn and letting him draw cheap is bad, is we face a check raise we can get it in as we do not know that much about villain.

When villain calls, we can put him on straight draws pair + gutter/kickers/flush draws  and some flush draws.

robom checks
Doggies bets [$0.50 USD]
robom calls [$0.50 USD]
** Dealing Turn ** [ 5d ]
robom checks

Pot 1.75$, 2.97$ left behind.

The 5d adds a bunch of two pairs and draws. However given the SPR we have to make our decision if we are going with it here. When he checks we can rule out 86** a reasonable amount I think, 63** also probably leads. Sets are minimal as they check raise flop (or lead), so we have good equity against his range in general, and against a strong all in range we are roughly 26% at worst.
So we should bet pot here, if we can get him to fold his equity that’s awesome, and we are never getting it in drawing dead here often what so ever.

We can check and look to get to showdown but against what is likely a player who calls way to wide we need to get max value which is again a reason why we should be potting the river.

Doggies bets [$1.20 USD]
robom raises [$2.97 USD]

Gotta call 1.77$ to win 5.92$, so we have the odds to call against the range we give him.

Doggies calls [$1.77 USD]
Doggies shows [Tc, Ah Ad 9c ]
robom shows [Kh, 5h 5c Kd ]
** Dealing River ** [ Qh ]
robom wins $7.31 USD from main pot

So he turned up with a hand we did not think was in his range, and against that hand we are 20%. That’s okay, we just need to take a note down and we can use that in the future. Our mistake was not potting on either street. When I first played the hand I was thinking the turn call may be bad, but the stack sizes make it a he mistake if we fold.
How did he play it? He didn’t play it horribly but I think he should lead out on the flop or at least CR as his hand is vulnerable. 

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